NBA November 8th

NBA Totals

These are official bets and will be recorded. We suggest following them all season.

wdt_ID Away Team Home Team Exp Total Total Odds Over Odds under Bet Over Bet Under
1 Memphis Orlando 202.00 207.5 1.952 1.934 0.00 0.00
2 Cleveland Washington 230.50 229.0 1.909 1.980 0.00 0.00
3 Detroit Indiana 209.00 0.0 0.000 0.000 0.00 0.00
4 Sacramento Atlanta 228.00 218.5 1.925 1.961 3.90 0.00
5 Golden State Minnesota 228.50 0.0 0.000 0.000 0.00 0.00
6 Toronto New Orleans 236.00 235.0 1.961 1.925 0.00 0.00
7 New York Dallas 215.50 216.5 1.943 1.943 0.00 0.00
8 Milwaukee Utah 210.00 218.0 1.952 1.934 0.00 2.65
9 Philadelphia Denver 205.25 0.0 0.000 0.000 0.00 0.00
10 Brooklyn Portland 230.50 0.0 0.000 0.000 0.00 0.00

NBA H2H

Can be found here

8 Comments

  1. Delman says:

    Just a query, why is Mem-Orl a no bet when the difference is 5.5 points between expected and offered?

  2. Nathaniel Smith says:

    Thanks for adding in expected totals Steve

  3. RichieRich says:

    Given the expected totals are now listed and that the lines move around so much at times, are people going to be betting when opportunities arise? Eg Grizz game today becomes an under bet as the line has moved out to 209.5.

    Do we need to be mindful of the closing line movements?

    • Nathaniel Smith says:

      I’m going to play around with it whilst being mindful of the risks you’ve mentioned. I’ll see how I get on. Gut says some extra value can still be found there but not as much, and I’d like some data to analyse.

      I’m in the UK so I do my betting at different times, but I’m still going to try to do the unofficial bets a reasonable period of time before tip off (8+ hours), given the closer to the game the sharper the markets should theoretically be.

      A few of the ones I bet became picks because of line movement, and the line has since moved back the other way so still heading towards CLV.

      Crazy-looking potential CLV on the SAC game btw

  4. Nathaniel Smith says:

    I’d venture that, as an extreme example, betting all the picks based on the line right before tip off wouldn’t prove particularly successful.

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